Sitemap - 2023 - Fidenza Macro
The Fed out-doved the market - don't fight the Fed
Pre-FOMC thoughts, precious metals, and BTC
Real Vision Interview - BTC, gold, China equities, KRE, German Bunds
Asymmetric 10x trades for a disinflationary 2024
A primer on gold, part 3 - gold vs bitcoin
Cyber Monday flash sale - 20% off annual plan
A primer on gold, part 2 - What drives the price?
An inflection point for the US economy and the Fed
A primer on trading gold, part 1 - fundamental facts and modern history
Gold regime change, BTC pullback, and weak Treasury auction
Is the bond market rout over? Trading this week's events
Big chart levels getting tested or broken
How high can yields go? A thought experiment
Thoughts on the conflict in Israel and Gaza
Is the Fed pivoting? What this means for long end yields
Market implications of the war between Israel and Hamas
What will happen when the Reverse Repo Facility gets depleted?
Exiting gold and going full stagflation mode
Postmortem on long equity positions, and why I'm now bearish everything
Uncomfortable parallels to Dec 2018
Short end US rates look mispriced going into FOMC
What soaring oil and gasoline prices mean for the markets
Should you quit your job to become an independent trader?
The Fidenza Macro digest, Sept 11 2023
The best days are behind for the US consumer
Interview with Real Vision Daily Briefing
The Fidenza Macro digest, Aug 21
3 reasons Treasuries might be in for a relief rally
5 things that will help your trading (that have nothing to do with trading)
Long end Treasuries are what keep me up at night
The bull market has a long runway
Reflationary regime is dominating
Interview with Sankalp Shangari at Rising Capital
Thoughts on the USD liquidity picture and the FOMC
Playing devil's advocate - how S&P 500 could stay buoyant
Feature on the Graduate Finance Careers Substack
Liquidity drain starts today - what will the market impact be?
My interview on Real Vision Daily Briefing
Telegram channel to discuss live trades
The US government is a forced seller of T-bills and Treasuries - move and get out of the way
How do you answer when someone asks you "What is your edge"? - Part 2
Thoughts on recent moves in equities, rates, and USD
Is it time to party like it's 2019?
The Fidenza Macro Digest, May 15
Policy solutions to the banking crisis - a breakdown
The Fidenza Macro digest, May 8
Trade alert - long gold as a tactical trade
Metastasizing of the banking crisis - stopping out of eur/usd and Euribor shorts
Trade alert - short EUR/USD at 1.0955
How do you answer when someone asks you "What is your edge"?
The Fidenza Macro Digest, April 24
Global macro roadmaps look bearish
The Fidenza Macro Digest, April 17
Trade alert - entering tactical portfolio hedges
Why do equities keep going up?
Seven thoughts going into today's US CPI
The Fidenza Macro digest, Monday April 10
Trade alert - taking profit on tactical gold position, exiting Jun SOFR futures
Staying centered in your trading
What the post-SVB world looks like, in charts
How a regional US bank run turns into a European government debt crisis
Trade alert - positioning for a recessionary regime and a European debt crisis
Reentering June SOFRs and Gold
The significance of banking contagion spreading to Credit Suisse
Taking profit on long Jun SOFR, gold, EUR/USD
Buying gold calls and SOFR Jun 23 calls
Goldman calling for a pause in hikes
Don't rule out a Fed pause or rate cut
Positioning for a return to disinflation
Closing out long-term short usd/jpy position
Trade alert - going short gbp/usd
Disinflation vs stagflation, global liquidity, and the best stagflation trade out there
Signs that strong Jan data was an anomaly - return to Goldilocks?
How to manage trades when they get close to your target
The trade is in the liftoff, not the landing
Soft vs hard landing, disinflation vs sticky inflation debates
Trade alert - going long WTI crude oil
The road to recession passes through Goldilocks
Trade alert - taking profit on gold
Adding long ETH/USD to the portfolio
BoJ stayed on hold - what next?
Game plan for trading usd/jpy this week