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A detour into stagflation land
Risky assets have been on a nice run this year, but stagflationary storm clouds have been rolling in, signaling that we may be in for a bumpy ride…
Apr 26
•
Geo Chen
6
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A detour into stagflation land
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Bitcoin ETF flows are bearish
The price of Bitcoin and crypto in general has been soggy over recent weeks, and so have bitcoin ETF flows, which have turned slightly negative for six…
Apr 18
•
Geo Chen
8
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Bitcoin ETF flows are bearish
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If I only had two hours a week to manage my investments...
I was catching up with a friend today who told me he is starting to spend more time to learn about investing. This piqued my interest, because these…
Apr 12
•
Geo Chen
24
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If I only had two hours a week to manage my investments...
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Trading results from Q1 2024
Here are the results of all the trades I’ve closed in Q1. The prices where I enter and exit (and the levels where I place my stops) are entered in the…
Apr 8
•
Geo Chen
6
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Trading results from Q1 2024
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The bull market in precious metals
Spot silver reached a two-year high yesterday, and this milestone is deserving of a post in itself. Since 2021, silver has been the ugly step-brother to…
Apr 3
•
Geo Chen
12
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The bull market in precious metals
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Nascent bull market in energy, crypto rally stalling
In equities, tech has been all the rage over the past couple quarters and since the Covid low. That’s why I was surprised when Kevin Muir pointed out…
Apr 1
•
Geo Chen
11
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Nascent bull market in energy, crypto rally stalling
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March 2024
Opportunities in commodities
I’m shifting capital towards the commodity markets, as they are finally showing signs of a nascent bull market. Part of the strength comes from China…
Mar 22
•
Geo Chen
4
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Opportunities in commodities
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Warning signs ahead
Whether you are in equities or crypto, there have been plenty of reasons to doubt the sustainability of this year’s rally in risk assets. Bear porn is…
Mar 15
•
Geo Chen
21
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Warning signs ahead
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Thoughts on new highs in gold and bitcoin
Gold recently made new all-time highs in USD terms. Those who have been following me for a while or who are paid subscribers know I’ve been long gold vs…
Mar 11
•
Geo Chen
12
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Thoughts on new highs in gold and bitcoin
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The unfolding reflationary boom and what it means for asset prices
My views on the current economic and market regime have evolved dynamically on a monthly basis as we get new incoming economic data and shifts in how…
Mar 5
•
Geo Chen
12
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The unfolding reflationary boom and what it means for asset prices
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February 2024
Crypto entering its parabolic phase
BTC, ETH, and other cryptocurrencies have entered a parabolic phase after BTC’s narrow $50.5-53k consolidation broke to the upside. I know my last post…
Feb 29
•
Geo Chen
16
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Crypto entering its parabolic phase
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Equities and bitcoin to take a breather
US equities are slightly off their highs, and I think we are about to have a 5-10% pullback in the S&P 500. I’ll just rattle off a bunch of reasons why…
Feb 21
•
Geo Chen
6
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Equities and bitcoin to take a breather
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