Fidenza Macro

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Uncomfortable parallels to Dec 2018
After a day of ruminating on the implications of yesterday’s hawkish surprise by the Fed, I realized that we are an inflection point in the market where…
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Geo Chen
Update on 2 yr Treasury trade
The Fed dots for 2024 and 2025 were raised by 50 bp, higher than most analyst estimates and uncharacteristically out of line with their lower…
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Geo Chen
2
Short end US rates look mispriced going into FOMC
As we approach the FOMC today, my analysis tells me short end rates are mispriced and offer an asymmetric trading opportunity. To start off with, this…
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Geo Chen
What soaring oil and gasoline prices mean for the markets
Before I begin, I want to let readers know I am providing access to my last post “Should you quit your job to become an independent trader?” to free…
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Geo Chen
Should you quit your job to become an independent trader?
In 2017, I left my cushy job managing a trading desk at a bank to manage my own capital full time. I started paying for my own Bloomberg, rented an…
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Geo Chen
4
The Fidenza Macro digest, Sept 11 2023
Eight things I'm reading or listening to
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Geo Chen
Update on positions
An update on the current positions in the Fidenza Macro portfolio is long overdue. Fortunately, the majority of positions have survived the past couple…
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Geo Chen
Fidenza Macro
Fidenza Macro
Global macro views from a trader with over two decades of institutional trading experience. Compounding capital with triple digit returns and 100% skin in the game. Readers include hedge funds, banks, independent traders, and sovereign wealth managers.
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